Everyone tells you to apply anyway. Nobody tells you which ones.
You meet four of the seven. Somebody tells you to apply anyway.
It is the most repeated sentence in career advice, and it is not bad advice exactly. It is incomplete in a way that costs people their evenings. Apply anyway tells you to lower a bar. It does not tell you which of the forty postings open in your browser are worth the next two hours, and that is the decision you were actually making.
The advice has no stopping rule
Follow it honestly and it terminates in one place: apply to everything. Which is how a person ends up sending two hundred applications that all say precisely the same thing, because at that volume there is no time for any of them to say anything else.
That would be fine if volume still worked. It does not, and for a reason that has nothing to do with you.
What changed underneath the adviceIn 2022 the average open role drew about 116 applications. By 2025 it drew 244. The number roughly doubled in three years, across thousands of companies, because applying got easier for everybody at the same time.
Volume is now free. And the one approach available to every single applicant at zero cost is, by definition, the one approach that cannot distinguish any of them.
The word "requirements" is doing a lot of work
There is a reason people hesitate in front of that list, and it is usually described as a confidence problem. It is not. It is a reading problem, and it comes from the label.
The list is called requirements, so it reads as a gate. But as part one of this series argued, most of those lines were written by recruiting, to reduce a large pile to a small one in a way that can be explained afterwards. They are a proxy for the actual need — a rough, standardised, defensible stand-in, written by somebody who does not have the problem.
People are not overestimating the bar. They are trusting the wrong part of the document.
Which means "be braver" is treatment for the wrong condition. Nobody needed permission to fall short of a proxy. They needed to know which lines were the proxy.
A stopping rule, from the first two parts of this series
- Find the lines a manager actually wrote. Not the countable ones. The specific, slightly awkward ones that could not be reused in another posting. If a posting has none, it is a cheap lottery ticket — buy it in two minutes or not at all.
- Name why the role exists. Somebody left, the work outgrew the team, or they are trying something new. If you cannot tell which, from the posting or the company's own recent news, you have nothing specific to write and you are guessing.
- Apply where you can defend two of the manager's lines with something you personally did. Not where you can tick six of recruiting's. Two defensible lines beat six matched keywords, every time, in front of the only reader whose opinion decides anything.
That is the whole rule. It is not generous and it is not brave. It is just a way of deciding where the effort goes, which is the decision the advice has been skipping for a decade.
The uncomfortable part
This means more work per application and fewer applications. Nobody can tell you the correct number — anyone who names one is guessing, including us. It also means accepting that some doors are closed for reasons no amount of reading will open: work authorisation, seniority, location, timing. Reading well does not move those. It stops you from spending three evenings discovering them.
And there is a version of this that goes wrong. Reading carefully can become a way of never applying — a more sophisticated form of the same hesitation the original advice was trying to cure. The rule above has a floor for that reason: when a posting is thin, spend two minutes and send it. Selectivity is meant to redirect your effort, not to give you a new reason to close the tab.
What to take from it
The advice was never exactly wrong. It was answering should I be braver? when the question people were actually asking, quietly, at eleven at night, was which of these are real?
That question has an answer. It is in the posting, three bullets down, written by somebody who was describing their own Tuesday.
Fewer applications only works if the ones you send are stronger
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